Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 96.227489 107.003837 118.119389 130.414712 143.607040 157.310485 172.594200
2025-03-09 74.616858 89.940367 106.633991 126.052397 147.899277 171.601947 199.143149
2025-03-16 60.381047 78.631708 99.559873 125.035024 154.904332 188.521389 228.913532
2025-03-23 51.927441 72.584156 97.385552 128.786640 166.902818 211.105838 265.655158
2025-03-30 44.583987 66.741887 94.532388 131.014684 176.694655 231.075105 299.737773
2025-04-06 37.795231 60.599945 90.454107 131.020974 183.301822 247.041396 329.184703
2025-04-13 32.426568 55.575912 87.143801 131.431176 190.015257 262.965498 358.673275
2025-04-20 29.174719 53.051957 86.792451 135.430400 201.182478 284.488512 395.371804
2025-04-27 26.101795 50.353565 85.841809 138.348257 210.796685 304.073436 429.882782
2025-05-04 23.804322 48.522606 85.871276 142.436095 221.905362 325.662814 467.214060
2025-05-11 21.467195 46.307262 85.075685 145.164449 231.082575 344.781417 501.592734
2025-05-18 17.484487 40.762873 78.712847 139.347535 228.036440 347.432184 514.373861
2025-05-25 14.608835 36.782701 74.490799 136.489520 229.096234 355.729420 534.991322
2025-06-01 12.672153 34.248369 72.362451 136.626022 234.370422 369.820814 563.573815
2025-06-08 11.202245 32.393145 71.181919 138.105938 241.570515 386.657298 596.112997
2025-06-15 10.507350 32.027969 72.508109 143.569113 254.766727 412.061851 640.672575
2025-06-22 9.553925 30.952052 72.468291 146.771235 264.606475 432.889587 679.265632
2025-06-29 8.347828 29.091956 70.829755 147.210237 270.192927 447.723747 709.772377
2025-07-06 7.317263 27.444011 69.416184 147.892096 276.086604 463.023196 741.074298
2025-07-13 6.809618 27.001542 70.245376 152.375841 287.945521 487.074103 784.876630
2025-07-20 6.223225 26.243925 70.380279 155.624005 297.895180 508.466710 825.183581
2025-07-27 5.807768 25.870052 71.230585 160.112342 309.857897 532.927418 870.058533
2025-08-03 5.297137 25.125641 71.254252 163.102211 319.456249 554.020553 910.384095